Tuesday, June 4, 2013

WHY WE PREFER A WRONG MAP TO NONE AT ALL?/ /Chap11 Availability Bias

I would like to thank our Creator foremost.....
Would you prefer a Wrong Map to None at All yourself?
Think about this..... Hmmmm
My personal experience: My grandmother very healthy so we thought, because she was so square she never did any drugs or alcohol. These days she is on dialysis & in need of a kidney and going blind in one eye, but her body doesn't contain any contaminations. (2) Another woman I know personally never put a cigarette to her mouth and going threw chemotherapy, now you tell me....
Rolf personal experience: My grandfather smoked three packs of cigarettes a day and lived to be more than a hundred." Or:(2) "Manhattan is really safe. I know someone who lives in the middle of the village and he never locks his door. Not even when he goes on vacation, and his apartment has never been broken into."
WHY DO WE USE THESE STATEMENTS?

 We use statements like these to try to prove something, but they actually prove nothing at all. When we speak like this, we succumb to the availability bias. The availability bias says this: We create a picture of the world using the examples that most easily come to mind. This is idiotic, of course, because in reality, things don't happen more frequently just because  we can conceive of them more easily.
 Thanks to the availability bias, we travel through life with an incorrect risk map in or heads. Thus, we systematically overestimate the risk of being the victims of a plane crash, a car accident, or a murder. And we underestimate the risk of dying from less spectacular means, such as diabetes or stomach cancer. The chances of bomb attacks are much rarer than we think, and the chances of suffering depression are much higher.
 Doctors often fall victim to the availability bias. They have their favorite treatments, which they use for all possible cases. More appropriate treatments may exist, but these are in the recesses of the doctors' minds. consequently, they practice what they know.
 If something is repeated often enough, it gets stored at the fore front of our minds. It doesn't even have to be true. How often did the Nazi leaders have to repeat the tern " the Jewish question "before the masses began to believe that it was a serious problem? You simply have to utter the words "UFO," "life energy," or "karma" enough times before people start to credit them.
 It is as if you were in a foreign city without a map, and then pulled out one for your hometown and simply used that.( who does this?) We prefer wrong information to no information. Fend it off by spending time with people who think differently than you do---people whose experiences and expertise are different from yours. We require others' input to overcome the availability bias.

 Hope you guys enjoyed this post, please feel free to leave your comments and Thank you for stopping by....


No comments:

Post a Comment